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Updated: Jun 21, 2025

Semi-High Throughput Screening for Potential Drought-tolerance in Lettuce Lactuca sativa Germplasm Collections
Published on: April 17, 2015
Characterizing drought prediction with deep learning: A literature review
Aldo Márquez-Grajales1, Ramiro Villegas-Vega2, Fernando Salas-Martínez3
1INFOTEC Center for Research and Innovation in Information and Communication Technologies, Circuito Tecnopolo Sur, No 112, Fracc. Tecnopolo Pocitos, Aguascalientes, 20326, Aguascalientes, México.
Abstract:
Drought prediction is a complex phenomenon that impacts human activities and the environment. For this reason, predicting its behavior is crucial to mitigating such effects. Deep learning techniques are emerging as a powerful tool for this task. The main goal of this work is to review the state-of-the-art for characterizing the deep learning techniques used in the drought prediction task. The results suggest that the most widely used climate indexes were the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) and the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI). Regarding the multispectral index, the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) is the indicator most utilized. On the other hand, countries with a higher production of scientific knowledge in this area are located in Asia and Oceania; meanwhile, America and Africa are the regions with few publications. Concerning deep learning methods, the Long-Short Term Memory network (LSTM) is the algorithm most implemented for this task, either implemented canonically or together with other deep learning techniques (hybrid methods). In conclusion, this review reveals a need for more scientific knowledge about drought prediction using multispectral indices and deep learning techniques in America and Africa; therefore, it is an opportunity to characterize the phenomenon in developing countries.
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Prediction Intervals
However, the point estimate is most likely not the exact value of the population parameter, but close to it. After calculating point estimates, we construct interval estimates, called confidence intervals or prediction intervals. This prediction interval comprises a range of values unlike the point estimate and is a better predictor of the observed sample value, y.
Light Acquisition

