[Ecosystem Services Assessment and Multi-Scenario Prediction in Liaoning Province from 2000 to 2020]
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View abstract on PubMed
Summary
This summary is machine-generated.Ecosystem services in Liaoning Province generally improved from 2000-2020, with carbon storage and soil retention increasing. Future projections show varied impacts across different land-use scenarios, highlighting the need for ecological protection strategies.
Area Of Science
- Ecosystem service assessment and prediction
- Regional sustainable development
- Land-use change modeling
Context
- Liaoning Province, Northeast China, faces development pressures from urbanization and industrialization.
- Understanding ecosystem service evolution is critical for sustainable resource management in rapidly developing regions.
- The study addresses the need for deeper insights into ecosystem trends and their service impacts.
Purpose
- To assess and predict ecosystem services in Liaoning Province using the InVEST-Markov-PLUS model.
- To evaluate spatiotemporal variations in carbon storage, soil conservation, and water yield from 2000-2020.
- To simulate land-use and ecosystem service changes under four scenarios for 2030.
Summary
- From 2000-2020, carbon storage and soil retention increased, while water yield fluctuated. Ecosystem service value rose by 17.58 billion yuan.
- Spatial analysis showed higher carbon storage and soil retention in eastern/western regions, with a west-decreasing trend for water yield.
- Future scenarios for 2030 indicate potential decreases in carbon storage and soil retention, except under ecological protection, and varied water yield trends.
Impact
- The study provides crucial data for regional planning and sustainable development in Liaoning Province.
- Findings inform policy decisions regarding land-use management and ecological conservation.
- The research highlights the vulnerability of ecosystem services to different development pathways.
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