Potential Overtreatment of DCIS in Patients with Limited Life Expectancy

As the benefits of intensive locoregional therapy for ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) are realized over time in older adults, life expectancy may help to guide treatment decisions. We examined whether life expectancy was associated with extent of locoregional therapy in this population.

Women ≥ 70 years old with < 5 cm of DCIS diagnosed 2010-2015 were identified in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER)-Medicare dataset and categorized by a life expectancy ≤ 5 or > 5 years, defined by a validated claims-based measure. Differences in locoregional therapy (mastectomy + axillary surgery, mastectomy-only, lumpectomy + radiation therapy (RT) + axillary surgery, lumpectomy + RT, lumpectomy-only, and no treatment) by life expectancy were assessed using Pearson chi-squared tests. Generalized linear mixed models were used to identify factors associated with receipt of lumpectomy-only.

Of 5346 women (median age of 75 years, range 70-97 years), 927 (17.3%) had a life expectancy ≤ 5 years. Of the 4041 patients who underwent lumpectomy, 710 (13.3%) underwent axillary surgery. More patients with life expectancy ≤ 5 years underwent lumpectomy-only (39.4% versus 27%), mastectomy-only (8.1% versus 5.3%), or no treatment (5.8% versus 3.2%; p < 0.001). On multivariable analysis, women with life expectancy ≤ 5 years had a significantly greater likelihood of undergoing lumpectomy-only [OR 1.90, 95% CI (1.63-2.22)].

Life expectancy is associated with lower-intensity locoregional therapy for older women with DCIS, yet a large proportion of patients with a life expectancy ≤ 5 years received RT and axillary surgery, highlighting potential overtreatment and opportunities to de-escalate locoregional therapy in older adults.