Detection of atrial fibrillation using a nonlinear Lorenz Scattergram and deep learning in primary care

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is highly correlated with heart failure, stroke and death. Screening increases AF detection and facilitates the early adoption of comprehensive intervention. Long-term wearable devices have become increasingly popular for AF screening in primary care. However, interpreting data obtained by long-term wearable ECG devices is a problem in primary care. To diagnose the disease quickly and accurately, we aimed to build AF episode detection model based on a nonlinear Lorenz scattergram (LS) and deep learning.

The MIT-BIH Normal Sinus Rhythm Database, MIT-BIH Arrhythmia Database and the Long-Term AF Database were extracted to construct the MIT-BIH Ambulatory Electrocardiograph (MIT-BIH AE) dataset. We converted the long-term ECG into a two-dimensional LSs. The LSs from MIT-BIH AE dataset was randomly divided into training and internal validation sets in a 9:1 ratio, which was used to develop and internally validated model. We built a MOBILE-SCREEN-AF (MS-AF) dataset from a single-lead wearable ECG device in primary care for external validation. Performance was quantified using a confusion matrix and standard classification metrics.

During the evaluation of model performance based on the LS, the sensitivity, specificity and accuracy of the model in diagnosing AF were 0.992, 0.973, and 0.983 in the internal validation set respectively. In the external validation set, these metrics were 0.989, 0.956, and 0.967, respectively. Furthermore, when evaluating the model's performance based on ECG records in the MS-AF dataset, the sensitivity, specificity and accuracy of model diagnosis paroxysmal AF were 1.000, 0.870 and 0.876 respectively, and 0.927, 1.000 and 0.973 for the persistent AF.

The model based on the nonlinear LS and deep learning has high accuracy, making it promising for AF screening in primary care. It has potential for generalization and practical application.