Machine learning analysis of lab tests to predict bariatric readmissions

The purpose of this study was to develop a machine learning model for predicting 30-day readmission after bariatric surgery based on laboratory tests. Data were collected from patients who underwent bariatric surgery between 2018 and 2023. Laboratory test indicators from the preoperative stage, one day postoperatively, and three days postoperatively were analyzed. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression was used to select the most relevant features. Models constructed included support vector machine (SVM), generalized linear model, multi-layer perceptron, random forest, and extreme gradient boosting. Model performance was evaluated and compared using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). A total of 1262 patients were included, of which 7.69% of cases were readmitted. The SVM model achieved the highest AUROC (0.784; 95% CI 0.696-0.872), outperforming other models. This suggests that machine learning models based on laboratory test data can effectively identify patients at high risk of readmission after bariatric surgery.