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Optimizing trigger timing in minimal ovarian stimulation for In Vitro fertilization using machine learning models
Nayeli Areli Pérez-Padilla1, Rodolfo Garcia-Sanchez2, Omar Avalos1
1Departamento de Electrónica, Universidad de Guadalajara, CUCEI, Guadalajara, Jal, Mexico.
Computers in Biology and Medicine
|July 25, 2024
Summary
Optimizing trigger shot timing in In Vitro Fertilization (IVF) is crucial. An AI model can predict outcomes, potentially increasing usable blastocyst production by 46% in minimal stimulation cycles.
Area of Science:
- Reproductive Medicine
- Artificial Intelligence in Healthcare
- Biostatistics
Background:
- Optimal trigger timing (TT) is vital for oocyte maturation and release in In Vitro Fertilization (IVF).
- Determining precise TT is challenging due to multiple variables, impacting IVF success rates, especially in minimal ovarian stimulation protocols.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop a machine learning multi-output model for predicting IVF outcomes (retrieved oocytes, mature oocytes, fertilized oocytes, usable blastocysts).
- To enhance trigger shot timing (TT) by identifying patients with potentially suboptimal timing in minimal stimulation cycles.
Main Methods:
- Development of a machine learning multi-output predictive model.
- Utilizing the model to analyze trigger shot timing in minimal ovarian stimulation cycles.
- Statistical validation of the model's accuracy and performance.
Main Results:
- Approximately 27% of treatments utilized a suboptimal trigger shot day.
- Optimizing TT with the AI model showed a potential 46% increase in usable blastocyst production.
- The model accurately predicted IVF outcomes within a 48-hour window post-trigger shot.
Conclusions:
- AI-driven predictive models can serve as valuable tools for optimizing trigger shot timing in IVF.
- Enhancing TT through AI can improve IVF success rates, particularly in minimal ovarian stimulation.
- The developed AI model contributes to making the IVF process safer and more efficient.

