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Published on: February 26, 2013
Atrial Fibrillation in Adult Congenital Heart Increase Ischemic Stroke Risk Even at Low CHA2DS2-VASc Score
Yu-Sheng Lin1,2,3, Yi-Chun Huang1, Chia-Pin Lin1
1Division of Cardiology, Chang Gung Memorial Hospital Linkou Medical Center, 333423 Taoyuan, Taiwan.
Insights
Adults with congenital heart disease (ACHD) have a significantly higher risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) and subsequent ischemic stroke. Even with low CHA₂DS₂-VASc scores, stroke risk remains elevated in ACHDs with AF.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Neurology
- Public Health
Background:
- The population of adults with congenital heart disease (ACHD) is growing.
- Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a significant risk factor for ischemic stroke in ACHDs, but its impact is not well-established.
- Existing stroke risk scores may not accurately reflect risk in this unique population.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the prevalence of AF in adults with congenital heart disease.
- To determine the effect of AF on ischemic stroke incidence in ACHDs.
- To assess the applicability of the CHA₂DS₂-VASc score for stroke risk stratification in ACHDs.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of 36,530 adults with congenital heart disease from 2000-2010 using the Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database.
- Comparison of ischemic stroke incidence between ACHDs with and without AF.
- Evaluation of stroke risk based on age, AF status, and CHA₂DS₂-VASc score, including anticoagulant therapy use.
Main Results:
- Adults with congenital heart disease exhibited a 4.7-15.3 times higher risk of AF compared to the general population.
- ACHDs with AF had a 1.45-fold increased risk of ischemic stroke (p=0.009).
- Ischemic stroke incidence was notably high (>1.47%) even in ACHDs with AF and a low CHA₂DS₂-VASc score (0-1).
Conclusions:
- Adults with congenital heart disease and AF face an elevated risk of ischemic stroke.
- The traditional CHA₂DS₂-VASc score may underestimate stroke risk in ACHDs, particularly those with AF.
- This highlights the need for careful stroke risk management in ACHDs with AF, irrespective of CHA₂DS₂-VASc score.
Background:
The population of adults with congenital heart diseases (ACHDs) is expanding, and atrial fibrillation (AF) emerges as a crucial risk factor for ischemic stroke. However, the evidence regarding the impact of AF on the incidence of ischemic stroke in ACHDs remains limited. In this study, we aimed to investigate the prevalence and effect of AF among ACHDs and assess the suitability of the traditional CHA₂DS₂-VASc score in this specific population.
Methods:
Data of ACHDs from 2000 to 2010 were retrospectively collected from the Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database. We divided ACHDs into those with and without AF, and ischemic stroke incidence was studied among ACHD subtypes and those who received anticoagulant therapy with warfarin or not according to CHA₂DS₂-VASc score.
Results:
36,530 ACHDs were retrieved from the database. ACHDs had a 4.7-15.3 times higher AF risk than did the general population, which varied based on the age group. ACHDs with AF had 1.45 times higher ischemic stroke risk than those without AF (p = 0.009). Ischemic stroke incidence among ACHDs with AF aged 50 years was 1.46 times higher than those without AF (p = 0.207). Ischemic stroke incidence was over 1.47% even in those with a low CHA₂DS₂-VASc score (0-1) with or without anticoagulant therapy.
Conclusions:
During the 12-year follow-up, ACHDs with AF were found to have an increased risk of ischemic stroke. The ischemic stroke incidence was high, even in those with a low CHA₂DS₂-VASc score (0-1).
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