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Methods for assessing inverse publication bias of adverse events
Xing Xing1, Chang Xu2, Fahad M Al Amer3
1Department of Biostatistics, Johns Hopkins University, Maryland, MD, USA.
Abstract:
In medical research, publication bias (PB) poses great challenges to the conclusions from systematic reviews and meta-analyses. The majority of efforts in methodological research related to classic PB have focused on examining the potential suppression of studies reporting effects close to the null or statistically non-significant results. Such suppression is common, particularly when the study outcome concerns the effectiveness of a new intervention. On the other hand, attention has recently been drawn to the so-called inverse publication bias (IPB) within the evidence synthesis community. It can occur when assessing adverse events because researchers may favor evidence showing a similar safety profile regarding an adverse event between a new intervention and a control group. In comparison to the classic PB, IPB is much less recognized in the current literature; methods designed for classic PB may be inaccurately applied to address IPB, potentially leading to entirely incorrect conclusions. This article aims to provide a collection of accessible methods to assess IPB for adverse events. Specifically, we discuss the relevance and differences between classic PB and IPB. We also demonstrate visual assessment through contour-enhanced funnel plots tailored to adverse events and popular quantitative methods, including Egger's regression test, Peters' regression test, and the trim-and-fill method for such cases. Three real-world examples are presented to illustrate the bias in various scenarios, and the implementations are illustrated with statistical code. We hope this article offers valuable insights for evaluating IPB in future systematic reviews of adverse events.
Insights
Publication bias (PB) challenges medical research. This study introduces methods to assess inverse publication bias (IPB) in adverse event data, offering solutions for more accurate systematic reviews.
Area of Science:
- Medical research methodology
- Evidence synthesis
- Biostatistics
Background:
- Publication bias (PB) impacts systematic reviews, often suppressing non-significant findings.
- Inverse publication bias (IPB) is emerging, particularly for adverse events, where similar safety profiles may be favored.
- Existing PB methods may be misapplied to IPB, leading to erroneous conclusions.
Purpose of the Study:
- To present accessible methods for assessing IPB in adverse event data.
- To differentiate between classic PB and IPB.
- To provide practical guidance for evidence synthesis.
Main Methods:
- Visual assessment using contour-enhanced funnel plots adapted for adverse events.
- Quantitative analysis with Egger's regression test, Peters' regression test, and the trim-and-fill method.
- Illustrative examples with statistical code for real-world scenarios.
Main Results:
- Demonstration of tailored methods for IPB assessment in adverse events.
- Comparison of visual and quantitative techniques for detecting bias.
- Real-world examples highlighting IPB in different contexts.
Conclusions:
- Accessible methods are provided to address IPB in systematic reviews of adverse events.
- Accurate assessment of IPB is crucial to avoid misinterpretation of safety data.
- The study offers valuable insights for researchers conducting evidence synthesis on adverse events.
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