Predictors of Delayed Clinical Benefit Following Surgical Treatment for Low-grade Spondylolisthesis

Retrospective review of prospectively collected data.

The aim of this study was to investigate what factors predict delayed improvement after surgical treatment of low-grade spondylolisthesis.

Lumbar surgery leads to clinical improvement in the majority of patients with low-grade spondylolisthesis. Most patients improve rapidly after surgery, but some patients demonstrate a delayed clinical course.

The Quality and Outcomes Database (QOD) was queried for grade 1 spondylolisthesis patients who underwent surgery who had patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs) collected at baseline, 3, 6, and 12 months, including back and leg pain Numeric Rating Scale (NRS), Oswestry Disability Index (ODI), and EuroQol-5D (EQ-5D). Patients were stratified as "early responders" reaching MCID at 3 months and maintaining improvement through 12 months and "delayed responders" not reaching MCID at 3 months but ultimately reaching MCID at 12 months. These two groups were compared with respect to factors which predicted delayed improvement.

Of 608 patients enrolled, 436 (72%) met inclusion criteria for this study. Overall, 317 patients (72.7%) reached MCID for ODI at 12 months following surgery. Of these patients, 249 (78.5%) exhibited a rapid clinical improvement trajectory and had achieved ODI MCID threshold by the 3-month postoperative follow-up. Sixty-eight patients (21.4%) showed a delayed trajectory, and had not achieved ODI MCID threshold at 3 months, but did ultimately reach MCID at 12-month follow-up. Factors associated with delayed improvement included impaired preoperative ambulatory status, better baseline back and leg pain scores, and worse 3-month leg pain scores ( P <0.01).

The majority of patients undergoing surgery for low-grade spondylolisthesis reach ODI MCID threshold rapidly, within the first 3 months after surgery. Factors associated with a delayed clinical course include impaired preoperative ambulation status, relatively better preoperative back and leg pain, and persistent leg pain at 3 months.