Association of county level poverty with mortality from primary liver cancers

The highly variable occurrence of primary liver cancers across the United States emphasize the relevance of location-based factors. Social determinants such as income, educational attainment, housing, and other factors may contribute to regional variations in outcomes. To evaluate their impact, this study identified and analyzed clusters of high mortality from primary liver cancers and the association of location-based determinants with mortality across the contiguous United States.

A geospatial analysis of age-adjusted incidence and standardized mortality rates from primary liver cancers from 2000 to 2020 was performed. Local indicators of spatial association identified hot-spots, clusters of counties with significantly higher mortality. Temporal analysis of locations with persistent poverty, defined as high (>20%) poverty for at least 30 years, was performed. Social determinants were analyzed individually or globally using composite measures such as the social vulnerability index or social deprivation index. Disparities in county level social determinants between hot-spots and non-hot-spots were analyzed by univariate and multivariate logistic regression.

There are distinct clusters of liver cancer incidence and mortality, with hotspots in east Texas and Louisiana. The percentage of people living below the poverty line or Hispanics had a significantly higher odds ratio for being in the top quintile for mortality rates in comparison to other quintiles and were highly connected with mortality rates. Current and persistent poverty were both associated with an evolution from non-hotspots to new hotspots of mortality. Hotspots were predominantly associated with locations with significant levels of socioeconomic vulnerability or deprivation.

Poverty at a county level is associated with mortality from primary liver cancer and clusters of higher mortality. These findings emphasize the importance of addressing poverty and related socio-economic determinants as modifiable factors in public health policies and interventions aimed at reducing mortality from primary liver cancers.