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Published on: May 10, 2013
Impact of Race-Free Glomerular Filtration Rate Estimations on CKD Prevalence in the US Military Health System: A
James D Oliver1, Robert Nee1,2, Hava Marneweck3,4
1Nephrology Service, Department of Medicine, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center, Bethesda, MD.
Rationale & Objective:
The 2021 CKD-EPI removes Black race as a factor in calculating the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). We assessed its effect on CKD prevalence in the demographically-diverse US Military Health System.
Study Design:
A retrospective calculation of the eGFR from serum creatinine measured over 2016-2019 using both the 2009 and 2021 CKD-EPI equations.
Setting & Population:
Multicenter health care network with data from 1,502,607 adults in the complete case analysis and from 1,970,433 adults in an imputed race analysis.
Predictors:
Serum creatinine, age, sex, and race.
Outcome:
CKD stages 3-5, defined as the last eGFR persistently < 60 mL/min/1.73m2 for ≥90 days.
Analytical Approach:
The t test and Kruskal-Wallis test were used for continuous variables and Χ2 for categorical data.
Results:
The population in the complete case analysis had a median age of 40 years and was 18.8% Black race and 35.4% female. With the 2021 equation, the number of Black adults with CKD stages 3-5 increased by 58.1% from 4,147 to 6,556, a change in the crude prevalence from 1.47% to 2.32%. The number of non-Black adults with CKD stages 3-5 decreased by 30.4% from 27,596 to 19,213, a crude prevalence change from 2.26% to 1.58%. Similar results were seen with race imputation. Cumulatively, among adults with CKD stages 3-5 by at least one equation, 45.8% of Black adults were reclassified to more advanced stages of CKD and 44.0% of non-Black adults were reclassified to less severe stages across eGFR thresholds that could change clinical management.
Limitations:
Potential underestimation of CKD in individuals with only 1 measurement.
Conclusions:
Adoption of the 2021 CKD-EPI equation in the Military Health System reclassifies many Black adults into new CKD stages 3-5 or into more advanced CKD stages, with the opposite effect on non-Black adults. This may have an effect on CKD treatment and outcomes in ways that are yet unknown.
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