Genetic Risk and Coronary Artery Calcium in Personalizing Antihypertensive Treatment: A Pooled Cohort Analysis

To assess the role of the systolic blood pressure polygenic risk score (SBP-PRS) in antihypertensive treatment initiation and its comparative efficacy with coronary artery calcium (CAC) scores.

This retrospective cohort study included participants with whole genome sequencing data who underwent CAC scanning between 1971 and 2008, were free of prevalent cardiovascular disease (CVD), and were not taking antihypertensive medications. The cohort was stratified by blood pressure (BP) treatment group and SBP-PRS (low/intermediate, first and second tertiles; high, third tertile) and CAC score (0 vs >0) subgroups. The primary outcome was the first occurence of adjudicated coronary heart disease, heart failure, or stroke during 10-year follow-up. The 10-year number needed to treat (NNT) to prevent 1 event of the primary outcome was estimated. A relative risk reduction of 25% for the primary outcome based on the treatment effect of intensive control (SBP <120 mm Hg) of hypertension in SPRINT (Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial) was used for estimating the NNT.

Among the 5267 study participants, the median age was 59 years (interquartile range, 51-68 years); 2817 (53.5%) were women and 2880 (54.7%) were non-White individuals. Among 1317 individuals with elevated BP/low-risk stage 1 hypertension not recommended treatment, the 10-year incidence rate of the primary outcome was 5.6% for low/intermediate SBP-PRS and 6.3% for high SBP-PRS with NNTs of 63 and 59, respectively. Similarly, the 10-year incidence rate of the primary outcome was 2.9% for CAC score 0 and 9.7% for CAC score greater than 0, with NNTs of 117 and 37, respectively.

Including genetic information in risk estimation of individuals with elevated BP/low-risk stage 1 hypertension has modest value in the initiation of antihypertensive therapy. Genetic risk and CAC both have efficacy in personalizing antihypertensive therapy.