Predicting key water stress indicators of Eucalyptus viminalis and Callitris rhomboidea using high-resolution visible...

Drought is one of the main factors contributing to tree mortality worldwide and drought events are set to become more frequent and intense in the face of a changing climate. Quantifying water stress of forests is crucial in predicting and understanding their vulnerability to drought-induced mortality. Here, we explore the use of high-resolution spectroscopy in predicting water stress indicators of two native Australian tree species, Callitris rhomboidea and Eucalyptus viminalis. Specific spectral features and indices derived from leaf-level spectroscopy were assessed as potential proxies to predict leaf water potential (Ψ_leaf), equivalent water thickness (EWT) and fuel moisture content (FMC) in a dedicated laboratory experiment. New spectral indices were identified that enabled very high confidence linear prediction of Ψ_leaf for both species (R² > 0.85) with predictive capacity increasing when accounting for a breakpoint in the relationships using segmented regression (E. viminalis, R² > 0.89; C. rhomboidea, R² > 0.87). EWT and FMC were also linearly predicted to a high accuracy (E. viminalis, R² > 0.90; C. rhomboidea, R² > 0.80). This study highlights the potential of spectroscopy as a tool for predicting measures of plant water noninvasively, enabling broader applications for monitoring and managing plant water stress.