Predictivity of the Prognostic Nutritional Index and Systemic Inflammation Index for All-Cause In-Hospital Mortality

Sibel Cavdar1, Sumru Savas2, Sezai Tasbakan3

  • 1Division of Geriatrics, Department of Internal Medicine, İzmir City Hospital, 35540 İzmir, Türkiye.

PubMed

Insights

The prognostic nutritional index (PNI) and systemic immune inflammation index (SII) predict COVID-19 mortality in adults but not in older patients. Age significantly impacts the predictive accuracy of these inflammatory markers.

Area of Science:

  • Medical Science
  • Immunology
  • Gerontology

Background:

  • The prognostic nutritional index (PNI) and systemic immune inflammation index (SII) are established predictors of COVID-19 severity and mortality.
  • Age-related physiological changes, including inflammaging and comorbidities, may alter the predictive performance of these indices in older adults.
  • This study investigates age-specific differences in the predictive value of PNI and SII for COVID-19 mortality.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To compare the predictive accuracy of PNI and SII for mortality in hospitalized COVID-19 patients across different age groups.
  • To determine if age influences the association between PNI, SII, and COVID-19 mortality.

Main Methods:

  • Retrospective analysis of 407 hospitalized COVID-19 patients (March 2020 - December 2020).
  • Calculation of PNI and SII within 48 hours of admission.
  • Stratification into age groups: <65 years and ≥65 years.
  • Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis to assess predictive performance.

Main Results:

  • In patients <65 years, PNI (AUC=0.706) and SII (AUC=0.697) showed fair predictive accuracy for mortality.
  • In patients ≥65 years, PNI (AUC=0.515) and SII (AUC=0.500) demonstrated no significant predictive accuracy for mortality.
  • The study included 197 older patients (48.4%) and 210 younger patients (51.6%).

Conclusions:

  • PNI and SII exhibit fair predictive capability for mortality in younger adult COVID-19 patients.
  • The predictive value of PNI and SII for COVID-19 mortality is diminished in older geriatric patients.
  • Age is a critical factor influencing the utility of PNI and SII as prognostic markers in COVID-19.

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