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Course of the effects of LDL-cholesterol reduction on cardiovascular risk over time: A meta-analysis of 60 randomized
Pascal M Burger1, Jannick A N Dorresteijn1, Stefan Koudstaal2
1Department of Vascular Medicine, University Medical Centre Utrecht, Utrecht, the Netherlands.
Insights
The long-term cardiovascular benefits of lowering low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) are stable in secondary prevention but may decrease with age in primary prevention. This finding is crucial for managing cardiovascular disease risk over time.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Preventive Medicine
- Pharmacology
Background:
- Cardiovascular disease (CVD) management often involves long-term low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) lowering therapies.
- Uncertainty exists regarding the sustained efficacy of LDL-C reduction over extended treatment periods.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the long-term course and stability of LDL-C reduction effects on cardiovascular risk.
- To analyze how follow-up duration and patient age influence the effectiveness of LDL-C lowering treatments.
Main Methods:
- Systematic review and meta-analysis of 60 randomized controlled trials (RCTs) involving LDL-C lowering therapies (statins, ezetimibe, PCSK9 inhibitors).
- Meta-regression analyses were used to assess the association between follow-up duration, age, and hazard ratios (HR) for major vascular events per 1 mmol/L LDL-C reduction.
- Individual participant data meta-analysis of atorvastatin trials was conducted to evaluate treatment-by-time interactions.
Main Results:
- A pooled analysis of 408,959 participants showed a significant reduction in major vascular events (HR 0.78 per 1 mmol/L LDL-C reduction).
- No significant association was found between follow-up duration and the HR for major vascular events (p=0.66).
- The HR for major vascular events attenuated with increasing age in primary prevention (p=0.003) but not in secondary prevention (p=0.63).
Conclusions:
- The relative treatment effects of LDL-C reduction are stable over time in secondary prevention based on available RCT data.
- In primary prevention, the efficacy of LDL-C reduction may diminish with increasing age.
- Further research with longer follow-up durations is warranted to fully elucidate long-term treatment effects.
Background And Aims:
Individuals with or at high risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) often receive long-term treatment with low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) lowering therapies, but whether the effects of LDL-C reduction remain stable over time is uncertain. This study aimed to establish the course of the effects of LDL-C reduction on cardiovascular risk over time.
Methods:
Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) of LDL-C lowering therapies were identified through a search in MEDLINE and EMBASE (1966-January 2023). The primary analyses were restricted to statins, ezetimibe, and proprotein convertase subtilisin-kexin type 9 (PCSK9) inhibitors, with other therapies included in sensitivity analyses. Random-effects meta-analyses were performed to establish the hazard ratio (HR) for major vascular events (cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction, unstable angina, coronary revascularization, or stroke) per 1 mmol/L LDL-C reduction. Course of the effects over time was assessed using random-effects meta-regression analyses for the association between follow-up duration, age, and the HR for major vascular events per 1 mmol/L LDL-C reduction. Additionally, treatment-by-time interactions were evaluated in an individual participant data meta-analysis of six atorvastatin trials.
Results:
A total of 60 RCTs were identified (408,959 participants, 51,425 major vascular events). The HR for major vascular events per 1 mmol/L LDL-C reduction was 0.78 (95 % confidence interval [CI] 0.75-0.81). Follow-up duration was not associated with a change in the HR for major vascular events (HR for change per year 0.994; 95 % CI 0.970-1.020; p = 0.66). The HR attenuated with increasing age in primary prevention (HR for change per 5 years 1.097; 95 % CI 1.031-1.168; p = 0.003), but not secondary prevention (HR for change per 5 years 0.987; 95 % CI 0.936-1.040; p = 0.63). Consistent results were found for statin trials only, and all trials combined. In the individual participant data meta-analysis (31,310 participants, 6734 major vascular events), the HR for major vascular events did not significantly change over follow-up time (HR for change per year 0.983; 95 % CI 0.943-1.025; p = 0.42), or age (HR for change per 5 years 1.022; 95 % CI 0.990-1.055; p = 0.18).
Conclusions:
Based on available RCT data with limited follow-up duration, the relative treatment effects of LDL-C reduction are stable over time in secondary prevention, but may attenuate with higher age in primary prevention.
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