Using machine learning to reveal drivers of soil microplastics and assess their stock: A national-scale study

The issue of microplastic (MP) contamination in soil is a significant concern. However, due to limited large-scale studies and stock assessments, our understanding of the drivers of their distribution and fate remains incomplete. To address this, we conducted a comprehensive study in China, collected MP data from 621 sites, and utilized machine learning techniques for analysis. Our findings revealed 9 key factors influencing the distribution of soil MPs, highlighting their nonlinear influence processes. Among these factors, atmospheric deposition emerged as the most dominant driver, while wind and precipitation could lead to the transformation of soil from a sink to a source of MPs. MP concentrations in Chinese soils vary from 1.4 to 4333.1 particles/kg, with human activities significantly affecting their distribution, resulting in higher concentrations in the east and lower concentrations in the west. The estimated MP stock in Chinese soils is 1.92 × 10¹⁸ particles, equivalent to a mass of 2.11-8.64 million tonnes. This stock alone surpasses that found in global oceans, making global soil the largest reservoir of MPs. Overall, this study enhances our understanding of the environmental behavior of MPs and provides valuable data and theoretical support for the prevention, control, and management of this contamination.