Clinical prediction nomogram for steroid-induced ocular hypertension risk in patients with intravitreal dexamethasone...

Recognizing the risk factors and understanding the mechanisms underlying steroid-induced ocular hypertension (SIOH) are vital to prevent potent vision loss and ensure the safety and effectiveness of dexamethasone (DEX) injections. The study aimed to develop a novel nomogram for predicting the risk of SIOH and determining safety zones for steroid injections.

This single-center, retrospective, case-control study included a total of 154 eyes with available measured axial length that had undergone AS-OCT and DEX implantation at the Yonsei University Health System. The eyes were categorized into the SIOH (n = 39) and post-steroid normal IOP (n = 115) groups. We measured intraocular pressure (IOP) for all eyes prior to DEX implantation, at 1 week post-implantation, and at 1, 2, 3, 6, and 12 months thereafter. We used AS-OCT to analyze the trabecular meshwork (TM) height and ocular parameters.

The predictive nomogram, including TM height, yielded an AUC of 0.807 (95 % confidence interval [CI], 0.737-0.877) and demonstrated significantly higher predictive accuracy than that of previous nomograms, which did not consider TM height and had an AUC of 0.644 (95 % CI, 0.543-0.745) (p = 0.031). The calibration plot demonstrated a strong predictive accuracy for a predicted value of approximately 0.4. We established cutoff values to ensure different levels of sensitivity and specificity within the safety zone following DEX implantation.

Our improved nomogram incorporating TM height as a newly identified risk factor, established a safety threshold for intravitreal DEX implantation, helping identify safe individuals from those who require caution.