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Disinformation and Regime Survival.

Yuko Sato1, Felix Wiebrecht2

  • 1Waseda University, Shinjuku-ku, Japan.

Political Research Quarterly
|August 12, 2024
PubMed
Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

Government disinformation bolsters authoritarian regimes, making democratization less likely. Conversely, in democracies, disinformation fuels autocratization, increasing the risk of democratic breakdown.

Keywords:
autocratizationdemocratizationdisinformationpropagandaregime survival

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Area of Science:

  • Political Science
  • International Relations
  • Digital Governance

Background:

  • Disinformation is a growing global concern impacting democracies.
  • Autocrats have historically utilized disinformation as propaganda.
  • Previous research on disinformation's impact on regime stability is limited to country-specific studies.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To conduct the first global comparative study on disinformation and regime stability.
  • To analyze the effects of government-disseminated disinformation on democratic and authoritarian regimes.
  • To investigate the relationship between disinformation and democratization/autocratization.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized novel measures from the Digital Society Project (DSP) on government disinformation levels.
  • Employed data from the Episodes of Regime Transformation (ERT) dataset.
  • Conducted a global comparative analysis across 148 countries (2000-2022).

Main Results:

  • In authoritarian regimes, higher levels of disinformation correlate with decreased democratization episodes, aiding ruler stability.
  • In democratic regimes, disinformation increases the likelihood of autocratization onsets.
  • Disinformation demonstrably hinders democratization prospects globally.

Conclusions:

  • Disinformation negatively impacts both democratic stability and the potential for democratization.
  • The study provides the first comparative evidence of disinformation's detrimental effects on democratic regimes.
  • Findings highlight disinformation as a significant threat to democratic governance worldwide.