Amphetamine-Induced Dopamine Release Predicts 1-Year Outcome in First-Episode Psychosis: A Naturalistic Observation

The dopamine theory of schizophrenia suggests that antipsychotics alleviate symptoms by blocking dopamine D2/3 receptors, yet a significant subset of patients does not respond adequately to treatment. To investigate potential predictors, we evaluated d-amphetamine-induced dopamine release and 1-year clinical outcomes in 21 antipsychotic-naive patients with first-episode schizophrenia.

Twenty-one antipsychotic-naive patients (6 female) underwent dopamine D2/3 receptor radioligand [11C]-(+)-PHNO positron emission tomography. For estimating dopamine release, scans were performed with and without d-amphetamine pretreatment. The Positive and Negative Syndrome Scale was performed at regular intervals over 1 year while receiving treatment in a naturalistic setting (Clinical Trial Registry: EUDRACT 2010-019586-29).

A group analysis revealed no significant differences in d-amphetamine-induced dopamine release between patients with or without clinically significant improvement. However, d-amphetamine-induced dopamine release in ventral striatum was significantly associated with reductions in positive symptoms (r = 0.54, P = .04; uncorrected P-values); release in globus pallidus correlated with a decrease in PANSS negative (r = 0.58, P = .02), general (r = 0.53, P = .04), and total symptom scores (r = 0.063, P = .01). Higher dopamine release in substantia nigra/ventral tegmental area predicted larger reductions in general symptoms (r = 0.51, P = .05). Post-amphetamine binding in putamen correlated positively with negative symptom scores at baseline (r = 0.66, P = .005) and throughout all follow-up visits.

These exploratory results support a relationship between d-amphetamine-induced dopamine release and the severity and persistence of symptoms during the first year of psychosis.