MFI-11 in Chinese elderly esophageal cancer patients with postoperative adverse outcomes

Frailty becomes more pronounced with advancing age, tightly intertwined with adverse clinical outcomes. Across diverse medical disciplines, frailty is now universally recognized as not only a risk factor but also a predictive indicator for unfavorable clinical prognosis.

This study was a retrospective cohort study that included clinical data from patients (aged ≥ 65 years) with esophageal cancer treated surgically at the First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University in 2021. For each patient, we calculated their 11-index modified frailty index(mFI-11) scores and categorized the patients into a frailty group (mFI-11hign) and a non-frailty group (mFI-11low) based on the optimal grouping cutoff value of 0.27 from a previous study. The primary study index was the incidence of postoperative pulmonary infection, arrhythmia, anastomotic fistula, chylothorax, and electrolyte disturbance complications. Secondary study indicators included postoperative ICU stay, total hospitalization time, readmission rate within 30 days of discharge, and mortality within 30 days after surgery. We performed univariate and multivariate analyses to assess the association between mFI-11 and adverse outcomes as well as postoperative complications.

Five hundred and fifteen patients were included, including 64.9% (334/515) in the non-frailty group and 35.1% (181/515) in the frailty group. Comparing postoperative complication rates between the two groups revealed lower incidences of postoperative anastomotic fistula (21.5% vs. 4.5%), chylothorax (16.0% vs. 2.1%), cardiac arrhythmia (61.9% vs. 9.9%), pulmonary infections (85.1% vs. 26.6%), and electrolyte disturbance (84.5% vs. 15.0%) in patients of the non-frailty group was lower than that in the frailty group (p < 0.05). mFI-11 showed better prognostic results in predicting postoperative complications. anastomotic fistula (area under the ROC curve AUROC = 0.707), chylothorax (area under the ROC curve AUROC = 0.744), pulmonary infection (area under the ROC curve AUROC = 0.767), arrhythmia (area under the ROC curve AUROC = 0.793), electrolyte disturbance (area under the ROC curve AUROC = 0.832), and admission to ICU (area under the ROC curve AUROC = 0.700).

Preoperative frail elderly patients with esophageal cancer have a high rate of postoperative complications. mFI-11 can be used as an objective indicator for identifying elderly patients at risk for esophageal cancer.