Monitoring yellow rust progression during spring critical wheat growth periods using multi-temporal Sentinel-2...

Yellow rust (Puccinia striiformis f. sp. tritici) is a devastating hazard to wheat production, which poses a serious threat to yield and food security in the main wheat-producing areas in eastern China. It is necessary to monitor yellow rust progression during spring critical wheat growth periods to support its prediction by providing timely calibrations for disease prediction models and timely green prevention and control.

Three Sentinel-2 images for the disease during the three wheat growth periods (jointing, heading, and filling) were acquired. Spectral, texture, and color features were all extracted for each growth period disease. Then three period-specific feature sets were obtained. Given the differences in field disease epidemic status in the three periods, three period-targeted monitoring models were established to map yellow rust damage progression in spring and track its spatiotemporal change. The models' performance was then validated based on the disease field truth data during the three periods (87 for the jointing period, 183 for the heading period, and 155 for the filling period). The validation results revealed that the representation of the wheat yellow rust damage progression based on our monitoring model group was realistic and credible. The overall accuracy of the healthy and diseased pixel classification monitoring model at the jointing period reached 87.4%, and the coefficient of determination (R²) of the disease index regression monitoring models at the heading and filling periods was 0.77 (heading period) and 0.76 (filling period). The model-group-result-based spatiotemporal change detection of the yellow rust progression across the entire study area revealed that the area proportions conforming to the expected disease spatiotemporal development pattern during the jointing-to-heading period and the heading-to-filling period reached 98.2% and 84.4% respectively.

Our jointing, heading, and filling period-targeted monitoring model group overcomes the limitations of most existing monitoring models only based on single-phase remote sensing information. It performs well in revealing the wheat yellow rust spatiotemporal epidemic in spring, can timely update disease trends to optimize disease management, and provide a basis for disease prediction to timely correct model. © 2024 Society of Chemical Industry.