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Validation of an AI-based solution for breast cancer risk stratification using routine digital histopathology images
Abhinav Sharma1, Sandy Kang Lövgren1,2, Kajsa Ledesma Eriksson1,2
1Department of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Background:
Stratipath Breast is a CE-IVD marked artificial intelligence-based solution for prognostic risk stratification of breast cancer patients into high- and low-risk groups, using haematoxylin and eosin (H&E)-stained histopathology whole slide images (WSIs). In this validation study, we assessed the prognostic performance of Stratipath Breast in two independent breast cancer cohorts.
Methods:
This retrospective multi-site validation study included 2719 patients with primary breast cancer from two Swedish hospitals. The Stratipath Breast tool was applied to stratify patients based on digitised WSIs of the diagnostic H&E-stained tissue sections from surgically resected tumours. The prognostic performance was evaluated using time-to-event analysis by multivariable Cox Proportional Hazards analysis with progression-free survival (PFS) as the primary endpoint.
Results:
In the clinically relevant oestrogen receptor (ER)-positive/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-negative patient subgroup, the estimated hazard ratio (HR) associated with PFS between low- and high-risk groups was 2.76 (95% CI: 1.63-4.66, p-value < 0.001) after adjusting for established risk factors. In the ER+/HER2- Nottingham histological grade (NHG) 2 subgroup, the HR was 2.20 (95% CI: 1.22-3.98, p-value = 0.009) between low- and high-risk groups.
Conclusion:
The results indicate an independent prognostic value of Stratipath Breast among all breast cancer patients, as well as in the clinically relevant ER+/HER2- subgroup and the NHG2/ER+/HER2- subgroup. Improved risk stratification of intermediate-risk ER+/HER2- breast cancers provides information relevant for treatment decisions of adjuvant chemotherapy and has the potential to reduce both under- and overtreatment. Image-based risk stratification provides the added benefit of short lead times and substantially lower cost compared to molecular diagnostics and therefore has the potential to reach broader patient groups.

