Decoding IBS: a machine learning approach to psychological distress and gut-brain interaction

Irritable bowel syndrome (IBS) is a diagnosis defined by gastrointestinal (GI) symptoms like abdominal pain and changes associated with defecation. The condition is classified as a disorder of the gut-brain interaction (DGBI), and patients with IBS commonly experience psychological distress. The present study focuses on this distress, defined from reports of fatigue, anxiety, depression, sleep disturbances, and performance on cognitive tests. The aim was to investigate the joint contribution of these features of psychological distress in predicting IBS versus healthy controls (HCs) and to disentangle clinically meaningful subgroups of IBS patients.

IBS patients ( $n=49$ ) and HCs ( $n=28$ ) completed the Chalder Fatigue Scale (CFQ), the Hamilton Anxiety and Depression Scale (HADS), and the Bergen Insomnia Scale (BIS), and performed tests of memory function and attention from the Repeatable Battery Assessing Neuropsychological Symptoms (RBANS). An initial exploratory data analysis was followed by supervised (Random Forest) and unsupervised (K-means) classification procedures.

The explorative data analysis showed that the group of IBS patients obtained significantly more severe scores than HCs on all included measures, with the strongest pairwise correlation between fatigue and a quality measure of sleep disturbances. The supervised classification model correctly predicted belongings to the IBS group in 80% of the cases in a test set of unseen data. Two methods for calculating feature importance in the test set gave mental and physical fatigue and anxiety the strongest weights. An unsupervised procedure with $K=3$ showed that one cluster contained 24% of the patients and all but two HCs. In the two other clusters, their IBS members were overall more impaired, with the following differences. One of the two clusters showed more severe cognitive problems and anxiety symptoms than the other, which experienced more severe problems related to the quality of sleep and fatigue. The three clusters were not different on a severity measure of IBS and age.

The results showed that psychological distress is an integral component of IBS symptomatology. The study should inspire future longitudinal studies to further dissect clinical patterns of IBS to improve the assessment and personalized treatment for this and other patient groups defined as disorders of the gut-brain interaction. The project is registered at https://classic.

gov/ct2/show/NCT04296552 20/05/2019.