Establishment of a diagnostic model for urinary calculi in pregnant women: A retrospective cohort study

The diagnosis of symptomatic urinary stones during pregnancy is challenging; ultrasonography has a low specificity and sensitivity for diagnosing urinary stones. This study aimed to develop a clinical diagnostic model to assist clinicians in distinguishing symptomatic urinary stones in pregnant women.

In this retrospective cohort study, we consecutively collected clinical data from pregnant women who presented with acute abdominal, lumbar, and lumbar and abdominal pain at the emergency department of our hospital between January 1, 2017, and December 31, 2019. To distinguish patients with urinary calculi from those without, we reviewed the follow-up records within 2 weeks post-consultation, ultrasonography results within 2 weeks, or self-reports of stone passage within 2 weeks. We selected risk factors from the baseline clinical and laboratory data of patients to establish a diagnostic model.

Of the total patients included in the study, 105 patients were diagnosed as having symptomatic urinary stones and 126 were determined to have abdominal pain for reasons other than urinary stones. The initial model had an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.9966. The No-Lab Model had an AUC of 0.9856. The Lab Model had an AUC of 0.832. The Stone Model had an AUC of 0.9952. The simplified Stone Model did not show a decrease in discriminative ability.

Of the four diagnostic models that we established for preliminary diagnosis of symptomatic urinary tract stones in pregnant women, the simplified Stone Model demonstrated excellent performance. Users can scan quick response codes to access web-based diagnostic model interfaces, facilitating easy clinical operation.