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Deep learning for prediction of post-thrombectomy outcomes based on admission CT angiography in large vessel
Jakob Sommer1,2, Fiona Dierksen1, Tal Zeevi1,3
1Section of Neuroradiology, Department of Radiology and Biomedical Imaging, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, CT, United States.
Insights
Deep learning models accurately predict stroke outcomes using Computed Tomography Angiography (CTA) and clinical data. This automated approach aids prognostication in challenging clinical scenarios.
Area of Science:
- Neuroimaging
- Artificial Intelligence in Medicine
- Stroke Neurology
Background:
- Computed Tomography Angiography (CTA) is crucial for diagnosing Large Vessel Occlusion (LVO) strokes.
- Predicting 3-month outcomes after LVO thrombectomy is essential for patient management.
- Current outcome prediction methods may be limited in certain clinical situations.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop and validate automated deep learning models for predicting 3-month outcomes in anterior circulation LVO stroke patients.
- To assess the performance of models using different input data combinations: CTA alone, CTA with treatment information, and CTA with treatment and clinical data.
Main Methods:
- Trained end-to-end deep learning pipelines on a dataset of 591 patients, split into training/validation and independent test sets.
- Utilized a pre-trained ResNet-50 3D Convolutional Neural Network (MedicalNet) with CTA preprocessing.
- Compared models incorporating "CTA" images, "CTA + Treatment" (thrombectomy time, reperfusion success), and "CTA + Treatment + Clinical" (age, sex, NIHSS).
Main Results:
- The ensemble model achieved an Area Under the Curve (AUC) of 0.70 for CTA alone.
- Models incorporating treatment and clinical data showed improved performance, with AUCs of 0.79 and 0.86, respectively.
- A logistic regression model with "Treatment + Clinical" data also achieved a high AUC of 0.86.
Conclusions:
- Demonstrated the feasibility of automated deep learning models for predicting stroke outcomes from admission CTA and post-thrombectomy data.
- These models can significantly aid prognostication in telehealth transfers and situations with communication barriers.
- The integration of clinical and treatment data enhances predictive accuracy for patient outcomes.
Purpose:
Computed Tomography Angiography (CTA) is the first line of imaging in the diagnosis of Large Vessel Occlusion (LVO) strokes. We trained and independently validated end-to-end automated deep learning pipelines to predict 3-month outcomes after anterior circulation LVO thrombectomy based on admission CTAs.
Methods:
We split a dataset of 591 patients into training/cross-validation (n = 496) and independent test set (n = 95). We trained separate models for outcome prediction based on admission "CTA" images alone, "CTA + Treatment" (including time to thrombectomy and reperfusion success information), and "CTA + Treatment + Clinical" (including admission age, sex, and NIH stroke scale). A binary (favorable) outcome was defined based on a 3-month modified Rankin Scale ≤ 2. The model was trained on our dataset based on the pre-trained ResNet-50 3D Convolutional Neural Network ("MedicalNet") and included CTA preprocessing steps.
Results:
We generated an ensemble model from the 5-fold cross-validation, and tested it in the independent test cohort, with receiver operating characteristic area under the curve (AUC, 95% confidence interval) of 70 (0.59-0.81) for "CTA," 0.79 (0.70-0.89) for "CTA + Treatment," and 0.86 (0.79-0.94) for "CTA + Treatment + Clinical" input models. A "Treatment + Clinical" logistic regression model achieved an AUC of 0.86 (0.79-0.93).
Conclusion:
Our results show the feasibility of an end-to-end automated model to predict outcomes from admission and post-thrombectomy reperfusion success. Such a model can facilitate prognostication in telehealth transfer and when a thorough neurological exam is not feasible due to language barrier or pre-existing morbidities.
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