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A dynamic decision-making approach for cabin unlawful interference emergency disposal using dynamic Bayesian network.

Yu Wu1, Shiting He2, Jinxin Shi3

  • 1College of Safety Science and Engineering, Civil Aviation University of China, Tianjin, 300300, China. y_wu@cauc.edu.cn.

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|August 16, 2024
PubMed
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Optimizing aviation security incident response requires analyzing potential failures. This study identifies critical factors like cabin damage and airline training to improve emergency disposal and enhance safety.

Keywords:
Aviation securityDynamic Bayesian networkDynamic emergency disposalImportance analysisUnlawful interference incidents

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Area of Science:

  • Aviation Security
  • Risk Management
  • Operations Research

Background:

  • Effective disposal of unlawful interference incidents is vital for aviation security.
  • Aviation security operations require a comprehensive approach involving airlines, airports, and passengers.
  • Random failures can occur at various stages of the incident disposal process.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To optimize emergency disposal decisions for civil aviation.
  • To enhance the efficiency of civil aviation operations.
  • To reduce accidents and lower operational costs.

Main Methods:

  • Constructed a dynamic fault tree with 26 nodes to analyze the emergency disposal process.
  • Converted the dynamic fault tree into a dynamic Bayesian network to explore event relationships and priorities.
  • Conducted simulation analysis using historical data, focusing on posterior probability, sensitivity, and importance.

Main Results:

  • Identified "structural damage to the cabin," "inadequate training by airlines," and "untimely airport police takeover" as critical nodes in cabin unlawful interference incidents.
  • Determined that most critical nodes are linked to airlines.
  • Demonstrated that decision-making pathways for critical nodes can be clearly observed and prioritized.

Conclusions:

  • Airlines play a significant role in critical incident management.
  • Airports can implement targeted emergency disposal measures.
  • Quantitative analysis and simulation provide actionable guidance for enhancing civil aviation security through dynamic emergency disposal.