Absolute cardiovascular risk assessment using 'real world' clinic blood pressures compared to standardized unobserved

Niamh Chapman1,2, Senali Jayasinghe3, Myles N Moore3

  • 1Menzies Institute for Medical Research, University of Tasmania, Hobart, TAS, Australia. Niamh.Chapman@Sydney.edu.au.

Insights

Real-world clinic blood pressure (BP) measurements overestimate cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk compared to standardized methods. More accurate BP monitoring is essential for reliable CVD risk assessment.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Preventive Medicine
  • Clinical Measurement

Background:

  • Clinic blood pressure (BP) is standard for cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk assessment.
  • Real-world clinic BP measurements are often unstandardized and less reliable than rigorous methods.
  • The impact of unstandardized clinic BP on CVD risk assessment is not well understood.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To compare absolute CVD risk assessment using real-world clinic BP versus standardized BP measurement techniques.
  • To quantify the differences in CVD risk classification based on BP measurement methods.

Main Methods:

  • Patients with hypertension underwent BP assessment using real-world clinic BP, unobserved automated office BP (AOBP), and 24-h ambulatory BP monitoring (ABPM).
  • Absolute CVD risk was calculated using the Framingham risk score based on systolic BP from each method.
  • Agreement between risk classifications was assessed using the Kappa statistic.

Main Results:

  • Clinic BP was significantly higher than AOBP and ABPM (18-22 mmHg higher).
  • Absolute CVD risk scores were higher using clinic BP, classifying 40% of participants as high risk versus 17-20% with AOBP/ABPM.
  • Agreement in risk classification between clinic BP and standardized methods was weak (Kappa values 0.52-0.57).

Conclusions:

  • Unstandardized 'real-world' clinic BP measurements lead to higher CVD risk scores and misclassification of risk compared to AOBP and ABPM.
  • The findings highlight significant discrepancies in CVD risk assessment due to BP measurement variability.
  • More rigorous BP measurement methods are necessary for accurate absolute CVD risk assessment in clinical practice.

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