Prognostic and predictive impact of NOTCH1 in early breast cancer

Systemic therapy plays a major part in the cure of patients with early breast cancer (eBC). However, personalized treatment concepts are required to avoid potentially harmful overtreatment. Biomarkers are pivotal for individualized therapy. The Notch signalling pathway is widely considered as a suitable prognostic or predictive marker in eBC. This study aimed primarily at assessing the relationship between NOTCH1 mRNA expression levels and histopathological features of breast cancer tumors, as well as clinical characteristics of the correspondent eBC patients. As a secondary aim, we investigated the prognostic and predictive value of NOTCH1 by assessing possible associations between NOTCH1 mRNA expression and recurrence-free interval (RFI) and overall survival after five years of observation.

The relative NOTCH1 mRNA expression was determined in 414 tumour samples, using quantitative PCR in a prospective, multicenter cohort (Prognostic Assessment in Routine Application (PiA), 2009-2011, NCT01592825) of 1,270 female eBC patients.

High NOTCH1 mRNA expression was detected in one-third of the tumours and was associated with negative hormone receptor status and high uPA/PAI-1 status. In addition, high NOTCH1 mRNA expression was found to be associated with more RFI related events (adjusted hazard ratio 2.1, 95% CI 1.077-4.118). Patients who received adjuvant chemotherapy and had high NOTCH1 mRNA expression in the tumour (n = 86) were three times more likely to have an RFI event (adjusted hazard ratio 3.1, 95% CI 1.321-7.245, p = 0.009).

In this cohort, NOTCH1 mRNA expression had a prognostic and predictive impact. Tumours with high NOTCH1 mRNA expression may be less sensitive to cytotoxic treatment and downregulation of the Notch signalling pathway (e.g. by γ-secretase inhibitors) may be valuable for eBC therapy as an individualised treatment option.