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Deep learning-based predictive models for forex market trends: Practical implementation and performance evaluation.

Phuong Dong Nguyen1, Nguyen Ngoc Thao2, Duong Thi Kim Chi3

  • 1CIRTech Institute, HUTECH University, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam.

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|August 22, 2024
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Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

This study introduces practical deep learning models for foreign exchange (Forex) market prediction, focusing on profit returns over accuracy. Three-value labels improve performance and reduce trading orders for real-world applications.

Keywords:
Financial forecasting modelfinancial time seriesforex marketreturn profitstock-movement forecasting

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Area of Science:

  • * Computational Finance
  • * Machine Learning Applications
  • * Financial Market Analysis

Background:

  • * Growing interest in financial market trend prediction for real-world applications.
  • * Foreign Exchange (Forex) market complexity simplified to binary classification.
  • * Need for practical deep learning models in Forex trading.

Purpose of the Study:

  • * Propose practical deep learning-based predictive models for Forex trading.
  • * Enhance trader decision-making by minimizing losses and anticipating risks.
  • * Emphasize profit return as a key evaluation metric over accuracy.

Main Methods:

  • * Implementation of deep learning models for Forex market prediction.
  • * Utilization of realistic Yahoo Finance datasets for experimental validation.
  • * Comparison of traditional two-value labels with proposed three-value labels.

Main Results:

  • * Demonstrated effectiveness of implemented deep learning prediction mechanisms.
  • * Validation through extensive experimental studies on realistic financial data.
  • * Superior performance observed with three-value labels compared to two-value labels.

Conclusions:

  • * Deep learning models offer practical solutions for Forex market prediction.
  • * Prioritizing profit return is crucial for evaluating trading models.
  • * Three-value labels enhance prediction accuracy and optimize trading strategies.