Association between walking pace and heart failure: A Mendelian randomization analysis

The relationship between walking pace and heart failure (HF) has been recognized, yet the directionality and underlying mediating risk factors remain unclear.

This study utilized bidirectional two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) with genome-wide association studies (GWAS) summary statistics to assess the causal relationships between walking pace and HF. Additionally, we employed a two-step Multivariable Mendelian Randomization (MVMR) to explore potential mediating factors. We further validated our findings by conducting two-sample MR with another available GWAS summary data on heart failure. Results indicated that genetically predicted increases in walking pace were associated with a reduced risk of HF (odds ratio (OR), 0.589, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.417-0.832). Among the considered mediators, the waist-to-hip ratio (WHR) accounts for the largest proportion of the effect (45.7%, 95% CI: 13.2%, 78.2%). This is followed by type 2 diabetes at 24.4% (95% CI: 6.7%, 42.0%) and triglycerides at 18.6% (95% CI: 4.5%, 32.7%). Furthermore, our findings reveal that genetically predicted HF risk (OR, 0.975, 95% CI: 0.960-0.991) is associated with a slower walking pace. Validated findings were consistent with the main results.

In conclusion, MR analysis demonstrates that a slow walking pace is a reliable indicator of an elevated risk of HF, and the causal relationship is bidirectional. Interventions focusing on waist-to-hip ratio, type 2 diabetes, and triglycerides may provide valuable strategies for HF prevention in individuals with a slow walking pace.