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Systemic Racism in Police Killings: New Evidence from the Mapping Police Violence Database, 2013-2021.

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Systemic anti-Black racism is evident in police killings. Black individuals face lower odds of exhibiting mental illness or being armed, yet higher odds of fleeing, compared to White individuals, indicating racial disparities in lethal police force.

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Area of Science:

  • Criminology and Criminal Justice
  • Sociology of Race and Ethnicity
  • Public Health and Epidemiology

Background:

  • Police killings represent a significant public health issue with profound racial disparities.
  • Existing research suggests racial bias in policing, but specific behavioral factors at the time of encounters require further examination.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate racial disparities in police killings using data from the Mapping Police Violence Database (2013-2021).
  • To determine if race-specific odds of exhibiting mental illness, being armed, or attempting to flee differ among victims.
  • To provide empirical evidence supporting policy initiatives aimed at reducing lethal police force and racial disparities.

Main Methods:

  • Analysis of data from the Mapping Police Violence Database (2013-2021).
  • Calculation of race-specific odds and probabilities for victim characteristics (mental illness, armed status, fleeing).
  • Application of multilevel, multivariable logistic regression, controlling for victim age, gender, year, and geographical clustering.

Main Results:

  • Black victims are overrepresented, and White victims underrepresented in the dataset.
  • Black victims have significantly lower odds of exhibiting mental illness (60% less) or being armed (23% less), but higher odds of fleeing (28% more) compared to White victims.
  • Hispanic victims have lower odds of being armed (45% less) than White victims.
  • These patterns remain consistent across different demographic and geographic factors.

Conclusions:

  • Findings indicate systemic anti-Black racism in police killings, with Black individuals facing a higher threshold for perceived dangerousness.
  • The perceived threshold for lethal police force appears higher for White civilians compared to Black or Hispanic individuals.
  • The study provides empirical support for policy interventions designed to reduce lethal police force and mitigate nationwide racial disparities in deaths by police.