Persistent low-level viraemia is associated with non-infectious comorbidities in an observational cohort in four...

People living with HIV (PLWH) have higher rates of non-infectious comorbid diseases (NCDs) than individuals without HIV. We characterized the risk of NCDs among PLWH with undetectable viral load and persistent low-level viraemia (pLLV) in the African Cohort Study (AFRICOS). We secondarily quantified the role of immune activation in the association between LLV and NCDs.

AFRICOS enrols participants in 12 clinics in Uganda, Kenya, Tanzania and Nigeria. Participants on antiretroviral therapy ≥ 6 months without an NCD at enrolment were included. PLLV was defined as at least two consecutive visits with a detectable viral load <1000 copies/ml. We examined elevated blood pressure, hypercholesterolemia, hyperglycaemia, renal insufficiency and a composite variable of any NCD. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated using Cox proportional hazard modelling. Among a subset of participants with biomarker data, we assessed the interaction between viral load and 13 biomarkers in the association with any NCD.

From 23 January 2013 to 1 December 2022, 1755 participants met the inclusion criteria for these analyses. At the first eligible visit, the majority of participants had an undetectable viral load (n = 1375, 78.35%). Participants with pLLV had an increased rate of developing any NCD (aHR: 1.22, 95% CI: 1.02-1.47) compared to participants with an undetectable viral load. There was a statistically significant interaction between LLV and TNF-α, CCL2/MCP-1 and TNF-RII in the association with any NCD.

PLLV was significantly associated with NCDs and immune inflammation in this population. Aggressive management of LLV may positively impact NCDs in PLWH.