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Tsallis q-Statistics Fingerprints in Precipitation Data across Sicily
Vera Pecorino1, Alessandro Pluchino1,2, Andrea Rapisarda1,2,3
1Dipartimento di Fisica e Astronomia "Ettore Majorana", Università di Catania, 95123 Catania, Italy.
This study analyzes Sicilian precipitation data using advanced statistical physics, revealing scale-invariant rainfall patterns and long-range memory effects. These findings enhance understanding of regional water resources and climate change impacts.
Area of Science:
- Environmental Science
- Hydrology
- Statistical Physics
Background:
- Precipitation patterns are crucial for regional hydrology, agriculture, and climate change assessment.
- Sicily's diverse geography makes it an ideal location for precipitation analysis.
- Understanding rainfall dynamics is key to managing water resources and predicting climate impacts.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze sub-hourly precipitation data from Sicily spanning two decades (2002-2023).
- To investigate rainfall event characteristics like duration, depth, and inter-event time.
- To apply advanced statistical physics methods, specifically Tsallis q-statistics, to precipitation data.
Main Methods:
- Utilized sub-hourly precipitation data from the Sicilian Agrometeorological Informative System (SIAS).
- Employed Tsallis q-statistics to analyze rainfall event variables and their temporal changes.
- Fitted simple returns of variables with q-Gaussian distributions to identify statistical properties.
Main Results:
- Identified scale-invariant properties in precipitation events.
- Detected evidence of long-range interactions and memory effects in rainfall data.
- Observed significant temporal changes in precipitation variables over two decades.
Conclusions:
- Precipitation in Sicily exhibits characteristics of complex environmental systems.
- Tsallis q-statistics effectively reveals underlying statistical properties of rainfall.
- The findings contribute to a deeper understanding of Mediterranean precipitation dynamics and climate variability.
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