Optimal sizing and operation of a hybrid energy systems via response surface methodology (RSM)

Hybrid energy systems (HESs) are the most important sources of energy demand-supply, have developed significantly around the world. Microgrids, renewable energy sources, remote telecommunications stations, greenhouses, etc., are being considered as HESs applications. Optimal sizing of these systems is considered as one of the important issues related to energy management. In this paper, the Response Surface Methodology (RSM) is proposed for the optimal sizing of a Photovoltaic (PV) system in a HESs. The suggested procedure solves the optimization problem by considering the factors affecting PV output power about the environmental conditions of the HESs. Providing a mathematical model for each of the input parameters and the ability to assessment the sensitivity of each of the input variables are the most important advantages of the proposed technique. In this paper, the RSM provides the most optimal sizing related to the PV system by considering climatic and geographical factors in the study site, and technical and economic issues related to the HESs. The optimal model obtained is evaluated by the Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) evaluation method, which is one of the important techniques of statistical evaluation. It should be noted that the RSM technique can be utilized to optimize all components of any HES.