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Risk factors and prediction model for postoperative complications in patients with struvite stones after percutaneous
Cong Tian1,2, Jiajia Qiao1,2, Lizhe An1,2
1Department of Urology, Peking University People's Hospital, 11 Xizhimen South Street, Xicheng District, Beijing, 100034, People's Republic of China.
Objective:
To analyze the risk factors for complications in patients with struvite stones following percutaneous nephrolithotomy (PCNL) or flexible ureteroscopy (fURS), and to establish a nomogram for postoperative complications in patients following PCNL.
Methods:
A retrospective analysis was conducted on patients with struvite stones after PCNL and fURS at the Department of Urology, Peking University People's Hospital, from January 2012 to March 2022. The common pathogens and antimicrobial susceptibilities in preoperative midstream urine culture were analyzed. Logistic regression analyses were used to evaluate the risk factors. Receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration plots, and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to assess the discrimination, accuracy, and practicability of the nomogram.
Results:
332 patients with struvite stones received one-stage PCNL or fURS, including 243 cases of PCNL and 89 cases of fURS. 72 patients (21.69%) developed postoperative complications. The most common pathogens in preoperative urine cultures were Escherichia coli, Proteus mirabilis, and Enterococcus faecalis. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that preoperative hemoglobin (OR = 0.981, P = 0.042), staghorn stone (OR = 4.226, P = 0.037), and positive preoperative midstream urine culture (OR = 2.000, P = 0.043) were independent risk factors for postoperative complications in patients following PCNL. The nomogram showed good performance in discrimination, accuracy, and applicability.
Conclusion:
Preoperative hemoglobin, staghorn stone, and positive preoperative midstream urine culture were independent risk factors for postoperative complications in patients with struvite stones following PCNL. A nomogram was developed to predict the probability of postoperative complications.
