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A Big Data and FRAM-Based Model for Epidemic Risk Analysis of Infectious Diseases
Junhua Zhu1, Yue Zhuang1, Wenjing Li1
1School of Safety Science and Emergency Management, Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan, People's Republic of China.
A new big data fusion method using the Functional Resonance Analysis Method (FRAM) model aids in predicting infectious disease epidemic risk. This approach provides early identification and rapid assessment for public health events.
Area of Science:
- Epidemiology
- Public Health
- Data Science
Background:
- Predicting epidemic risk is crucial for timely public health interventions.
- Existing methods may not fully leverage multi-source data for comprehensive risk assessment.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop a comprehensive big data fusion assessment method for predicting epidemic risk levels.
- To enable early and timely identification of infectious disease epidemic risks.
Main Methods:
- Utilized the Functional Resonance Analysis Method (FRAM) model to create a pandemic spreading risk portrait.
- Developed a hierarchical multi-source dataset integrating medical, human behavior, internet, and geo-meteorological data.
- Employed three function module tags: Basic Risk Factors (BRF), Spread of Epidemic Threats (SET), and Risk Influencing Factors (RIF).
Main Results:
- Applied the FRAM portrait model to analyze the 2020 Wuhan pandemic case using a dynamic functional network diagram.
- Demonstrated the model's capability for risk assessment within the functional modules.
Conclusions:
- The developed FRAM portrait model offers a novel approach for early and rapid epidemic risk assessment.
- This method has potential applications for future acute public health events and infectious disease surveillance.
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