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Updated: Jun 14, 2025
Author Spotlight: Enhancing Understanding and Treatment Strategies with the NEC-on-a-Chip Model
Published on: July 28, 2023
Establishing a nomogram for predicting necrotizing enterocolitis in premature infants: A retrospective multicenter
Baoquan Zhang1, Wenlong Xiu1, Enhuan Wei2
1Department of Neonatology, Fujian Maternity and Child Health Hospital College of Clinical Medicine for Obstetrics & Gynecology and Pediatrics, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou 350000, China.
Background:
To construct a nomogram for predicting necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC) in preterm infants.
Methods:
A total of 4,724 preterm infants who were admitted into 8 hospitals between April 2019 and September 2020 were initially enrolled this retrospective multicenter cohort study. Finally, 1,092 eligible cases were divided into training set and test set based on a 7:3 ratio. A univariate logistic regression analysis was performed to compare the variables between the two groups. Stepwise backward regression, LASSO regression, and Boruta feature selection were utilized in the multivariate analysis to identify independent risk factors. Then a nomogram model was constructed based on the identified risk factors.
Results:
Risk factors for NEC included gestational diabetes mellitus, gestational age, small for gestational age, patent ductus arteriosus, septicemia, red blood cell transfusion, intravenous immunoglobulin, severe feeding intolerance, and absence of breastfeeding. The nomogram model developed based on these factors showed well discriminative ability. Calibration and decision curve analysis curves confirmed the good consistency and clinical utility of the model.
Conclusions:
We developed a nomogram model with strong discriminative ability, consistency, and clinical utility for predicting NEC. This model could be valuable for the early prediction of preterm infants at risk of developing NEC.
