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Competing-Risk Nomogram for Predicting Cancer-Specific Survival in Multiple Primary Colorectal Cancer Patients after Surgery
Published on: September 27, 2024
Heterogeneity in survival within age groups of early-onset colorectal cancer patients: A National Cancer Database
Emeka Ray-Offor1,2, Zoe Garoufalia1, Sameh Hany Emile1,3
1Ellen Leifer Shulman and Steven Shulman Digestive Disease Center, Cleveland Clinic Florida, Weston, Florida, USA.
Background:
We aimed to identify predictors of and heterogeneity in survival among different age groups of patients with early-onset colorectal cancer (EOCRC).
Methods:
This retrospective cohort study used National Cancer Database data from 2004 to 2019. Differences in survival among CRC patients <50 years, subcategorized into age groups (<20, 20-29, 30-39, 40-49 years) were compared for demographic, clinical, and histologic features by univariate and multivariate analyses. Cox hazard regression and Kaplan Meier survival analysis were performed.
Results:
134 219 of the 1 240 787 individuals with CRC (10.8%) were <50 years old; 46 639 (34.8%) had rectal and 87 580 (65.3%) had colon cancer. Within the colon cancer cohort, individuals aged between 30 and 39 years had the highest overall survival rate (66.7%) during a median follow-up of 47.6 months (interquartile range IQR 23.1-89.7). The same age group in the rectal cancer cohort had the lowest survival rate (31%) over a median follow-up of 54.5 (IQR 28.24-97.31) months. Leading factors affecting survival included tumor stage (HR 8.23 [4.64-14.6]; p < 0.0001), lymphovascular invasion (HR 1.88 [1.70-2.06]; p < 0.0001) and perineural invasion (HR 1.08 [1.02-1.15]; p = 0.001).
Conclusion:
Survival trends vary within age groups of patients affected with early onset colon cancer compared to rectal cancer. Tumor stage and unfavorable pathological characteristics are the strongest factors predicting survival.
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