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Will DANCAVAS be the most important screening trial in the last 50 years?
Neal M Dixit1, Edward Chau1, Saul Schaefer1
1Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, UC Davis Health, Sacramento, CA, USA.
Insights
Cardiovascular disease screening trials show potential benefits, particularly for younger men. The Danish Cardiovascular Screening trial suggests coronary artery calcium scoring could significantly improve outcomes and save lives.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Preventive Medicine
- Public Health
Background:
- Cardiovascular disease screening trials have historically struggled to demonstrate a significant reduction in all-cause mortality.
- The Danish Cardiovascular Screening trial (DANCAVAS) aimed to assess the impact of screening on mortality in men aged 65-74.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the effectiveness of cardiovascular screening in reducing all-cause mortality.
- To analyze subgroup differences and identify potential benefits of screening in specific age groups.
- To highlight the importance of coronary artery calcium scoring in cardiovascular risk assessment.
Main Methods:
- Randomized controlled trial design comparing screened versus unscreened men aged 65-74.
- Interim analysis of all-cause mortality as the primary outcome.
- Subgroup analysis focusing on younger participants (65-69 years old).
Main Results:
- The 5-year interim analysis did not show a statistically significant reduction in all-cause mortality (Hazard Ratio: 0.95, Confidence Interval: 0.90-1.00).
- A significant benefit was observed in the subgroup of men aged 65-69, with a lower hazard ratio for all-cause mortality (0.89, CI 0.83-0.96).
- A widening difference in outcomes between screened and unscreened groups suggests a potential long-term benefit.
Conclusions:
- While the overall trial did not meet statistical significance for all-cause mortality at the interim analysis, subgroup findings indicate a benefit in younger men.
- The trial is poised to become influential, emphasizing the critical role of coronary artery calcium scoring.
- Implementing coronary artery calcium scoring could be a key strategy for improving cardiovascular health and reducing mortality.
Abstract:
Screening trials for cardiovascular disease have not demonstrated a reduction in all-cause mortality. The Danish Cardiovascular Screening trial (DANCAVAS) involved men aged 65-74 years old who were randomized to an invitation to undergo screening or not. While the 5-year interim analysis did not show a statistically significant benefit in the primary outcome of all-cause mortality, HR 0.95 (CI 0.90-1.00), a sub-group analysis of men age 65-69 did show a lower hazard ratio of 0.89 (CI 0.83-0.96). Given the widening difference between screened and un-screened participants, as well as the benefit in younger subjects, it is likely that the next analysis will demonstrate a statistically-significant benefit of screening. In this commentary we argue why this trial will almost certainly become one of the most influential screening trials and why heeding its most important lesson, the use of coronary artery calcium scoring, has the potential to save countless lives.
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