Harnessing the power of child development records to detect early neurodevelopmental disorders using Bayesian

Yuhei Hatakenaka1,2,3, Koutaro Hachiya4, Jakob Åsberg Johnels3

  • 1Faculty of Humanities and Sociologies, University of the Ryukyus, Okinawa, Japan.

PubMed

Insights

Public health nurses can use developmental data to identify early indicators of neurodevelopmental disorders (NDDs) in children. An 18-month checkup accurately identified children at NDD risk, aiding early intervention.

Area of Science:

  • Pediatrics
  • Developmental Psychology
  • Public Health

Background:

  • Early detection of neurodevelopmental disorders (NDDs) is crucial for timely intervention and improved outcomes.
  • Developmental data collected by public health nurses (PHNs) offers a valuable resource for identifying at-risk children.
  • Bayesian network (BN) analysis can enhance diagnostic accuracy by identifying complex factor combinations.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To analyze developmental data from PHNs to identify early indicators of NDDs in young children.
  • To utilize BN analysis to determine factor combinations that improve NDD diagnosis accuracy.
  • To assess the predictive accuracy of developmental assessments at different child ages.

Main Methods:

  • Analysis of developmental data from 501 children at 18 and 36-month checkups.
  • Inclusion of demographic, pregnancy, delivery, neonatal, maternal, and physical/neurological factors.
  • Bayesian network analysis and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis for predictive accuracy.

Main Results:

  • Several infant/toddler factors, including meconium-stained amniotic fluid, 1-minute Apgar score, and early developmental milestones, were significantly associated with NDD diagnoses.
  • The 18-month checkup demonstrated accurate identification of children at NDD risk.
  • While the 10-month checkup was useful for screening, the 18-month evaluation provided more reliable risk identification.

Conclusions:

  • Developmental records hold significant potential for early NDD detection.
  • Early monitoring and intervention are vital for children identified as at-risk for NDDs.
  • Findings can inform community-based infant mental health initiatives.
Abstract