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Are Latent Factor Regression and Sparse Regression Adequate?
Jianqing Fan1, Zhipeng Lou2, Mengxin Yu3
1Frederick L. Moore '18 Professor of Finance, Professor of Statistics, and Professor of Operations Research and Financial Engineering at the Princeton University.
Abstract:
We propose the Factor Augmented (sparse linear) Regression Model (FARM) that not only admits both the latent factor regression and sparse linear regression as special cases but also bridges dimension reduction and sparse regression together. We provide theoretical guarantees for the estimation of our model under the existence of sub-Gaussian and heavy-tailed noises (with bounded (1 + ϑ) -th moment, for all ϑ > 0) respectively. In addition, the existing works on supervised learning often assume the latent factor regression or sparse linear regression is the true underlying model without justifying its adequacy. To fill in such an important gap on high-dimensional inference, we also leverage our model as the alternative model to test the sufficiency of the latent factor regression and the sparse linear regression models. To accomplish these goals, we propose the Factor-Adjusted deBiased Test (FabTest) and a two-stage ANOVA type test respectively. We also conduct large-scale numerical experiments including both synthetic and FRED macroeconomics data to corroborate the theoretical properties of our methods. Numerical results illustrate the robustness and effectiveness of our model against latent factor regression and sparse linear regression models.
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