Unsupervised Pattern Analysis to Differentiate Multiple Sclerosis Phenotypes Using Principal Component Analysis on...

Background: Multiple sclerosis (MS) has two main phenotypes: relapse-remitting MS (RRMS) and progressive MS (PMS), distinguished by disability profiles and treatment response. Differentiating them using conventional MRI is challenging. Objective: This study explores the use of scaled subprofile modelling using principal component analysis (SSM/PCA) on MRI data to distinguish between MS phenotypes. Methods: MRI scans were performed on patients with RRMS (n = 30) and patients with PMS (n = 20), using the standard sequences T₁w, T₂w, T₂w-FLAIR, and the myelin-sensitive sequences magnetisation transfer (MT) ratio (MTR), quantitative MT (qMT), inhomogeneous MT ratio (ihMTR), and quantitative inhomogeneous MT (qihMT). Results: SSM/PCA analysis of qihMT images best differentiated PMS from RRMS, with the highest specificity (87%) and positive predictive value (PPV) (83%), but a lower sensitivity (67%) and negative predictive value (NPV) (72%). Conversely, T₁w data analysis showed the highest sensitivity (93%) and NPV (89%), with a lower PPV (67%) and specificity (53%). Phenotype classification agreement between T₁w and qihMT was observed in 57% of patients. In the subset with concordant classifications, the sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV were 100%, 88%, 90%, and 100%, respectively. Conclusions: SSM/PCA on MRI data revealed distinctive patterns for MS phenotypes. Optimal discrimination occurred with qihMT and T₁w sequences, with qihMT identifying PMS and T₁w identifying RRMS. When qihMT and T₁w analyses align, MS phenotype prediction improves.