Causal relationship between modifiable risk factors and knee osteoarthritis: a Mendelian randomization study

While several risk factors for knee osteoarthritis (KOA) have been recognized, the pathogenesis of KOA and the causal relationship between modifiable risk factors and KOA in genetic epidemiology remain unclear. This study aimed to determine the causal relationship between KOA and its risk factors.

Data were obtained from published Genome-Wide Association study (GWAS) databases. A two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis was performed with genetic variants associated with risk factors as instrumental variables and KOA as outcome. First, inverse variance weighting was used as the main MR analysis method, and then a series of sensitivity analyses were conducted to comprehensively evaluate the causal relationship between them.

Univariate forward MR analysis revealed that genetically predicted hypothyroidism, hyperthyroidism/thyrotoxicosis, educational level, income level, metabolic syndrome (MS), essential hypertension, height, hot drink temperature, diet (abstaining from sugar-sweetened or wheat products), and psychological and psychiatric disorders (stress, depression, and anxiety) were causally associated with KOA. Reverse MR exhibits a causal association between KOA and educational attainment. Multivariate MR analysis adjusted for the inclusion of potential mediators, such as body mass index (BMI), smoking, alcohol consumption, and sex, exhibited some variation in causal effects. However, hyperthyroidism/thyrotoxicosis had a significant causal effect on KOA, and there was good evidence that height, hypothyroidism, educational level, psychological and psychiatric disorders (stress, depression, and anxiety), and abstaining from wheat products had an independent causal relationship. The mediating effect of BMI as a mediator was also identified.

This study used MR to validate the causal relationship between KOA and its risk factors, providing new insights for preventing and treating KOA in clinical practice and for developing public health policies.