People Are More Variable Than Their Hop Test Would Suggest: Hop Performance and Self-Reported Outcomes Over 11 Years...

We aimed to report the trajectory of self-reported outcomes up to 11 years post-ACLR. We also explored the relationship between hop performance at 1 year and: (i) future self-reported knee outcomes; and (ii) risk of subsequent knee events. 124 participants (43 women, mean age 31 ± 8 years) were recruited at 1 year following hamstring-autograft ACLR. Hop performance was assessed with single-forward and side-hop tests. Follow-up was completed at 3 (n = 114), 5 (n = 89) and 11 years (n = 72) post-ACLR. Self-reported outcomes were assessed at each follow-up with the Knee injury Osteoarthritis Outcome Score (KOOS) pain and quality of life (QOL) subscales. Generalized linear mixed models estimated the relationship between hop performance and self-reported outcomes. Subsequent knee events (new injury/surgery) to either knee were recorded, with the relationship between hop performance and risk of subsequent knee events analyzed with Cox proportional hazards. Self-reported knee outcomes were stable (mean change < 10 points) across all timepoints but with major within-sample variability. There was a modest relationship between greater hop performance at 1 year and better future KOOS-pain (average marginal effect [AME] % improvement with + 1 cm single forward hop = 0.06% [95% CI 0.02-0.10]). A nonlinear spline relationship showed better single-forward hop performance was associated with better KOOS-QOL for scores < 108 cm, not present for higher hop scores > 108 cm. There were 21 index and 11 contralateral subsequent knee events. Hop performance was not related to risk of a subsequent knee event (hazard ratio index knee 0.99 [95% CI 0.98-1.02]). In conclusion, self-reported knee pain and quality of life were generally stable across the 11-year follow-up period. Greater hop performance at 1-year post-ACLR was related to better self-reported knee outcomes up to 11-year follow-up (of questionable clinical importance), but not associated with the risk of subsequent knee injury/surgery.