Variational time reversal for free-energy estimation in nonequilibrium steady states

Studying the structure of systems in nonequilibrium steady states necessitates tools that quantify population shifts and associated deformations of equilibrium free-energy landscapes under persistent currents. Within the framework of stochastic thermodynamics, we establish a variant of the Kawasaki-Crooks equality that relates nonequilibrium free-energy corrections in overdamped Langevin systems to heat dissipation statistics along time-reversed relaxation trajectories computable with molecular simulation. Using stochastic control theory, we arrive at a general variational approach to evaluate the Kawasaki-Crooks equality and use it to estimate distribution functions of order parameters in specific models of driven and active matter, attaining substantial improvement in accuracy over simple perturbative methods.