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Climate change and tourism demand: Risks for extreme heat?
Dingyi Chang1,2, Naipeng Bu3, Ning Zhang1,4,5
1Institute of Blue and Green Development, Shandong University, Weihai, 264209, China.
Heliyon
|September 19, 2024
Summary
Extreme heat impacts tourism negatively, with summer heat decreasing visitors and autumn warmth increasing them. This study quanties the temperature-tourism relationship across China.
Area of Science:
- Environmental Science
- Tourism Studies
- Economics
Background:
- Extreme temperatures pose significant challenges to tourism experiences globally.
- Understanding the precise impact of temperature on tourism is crucial for destination management.
Purpose of the Study:
- To conduct the first nationwide estimation of the temperature-tourism response function in China.
- To analyze the heterogeneous effects of temperature on tourism based on destination characteristics.
Main Methods:
- Utilized a fine-grained panel dataset matching tourism and daily meteorological data for 280 Chinese cities (2005-2019).
- Employed the temperature bins method to establish a non-linear temperature-tourism relationship.
- Conducted heterogeneity analysis considering economic development, population, infrastructure, and tourism resources.
Main Results:
- A non-linear relationship exists between temperature and tourism.
- Increased summer temperatures correlate with decreased tourism arrivals and revenue.
- Rising autumn temperatures are associated with increased tourism arrivals and revenue.
Conclusions:
- Temperature dynamics significantly influence tourism patterns in China.
- Findings provide critical insights for destination management and climate change adaptation strategies in the tourism sector.
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