A predictive fuzzy logic and rule-based control approach for practical real-time operation of urban stormwater...

Predictive real-time control (RTC) strategies are usually more effective than reactive strategies for the intelligent management of urban stormwater storage systems. However, it remains a challenge to ensure the practicality of RTC strategies that use accessible, non-idealized predictive information while improving their efficiency for successive rainfall events instead of specific phases. This study developed a predictive fuzzy logic and rule-based control (PFL-RBC) approach to address the continuous control of individual storage systems. This approach incorporates total rainfall depth forecast information with an intra-storm fuzzy logic system to optimize peak flow control and several rule-based strategies for pre-storm water detention, reuse, and release control. Computational experiments were conducted using a storage tank case study to test the proposed approach under various rainfall conditions and storage sizes. The results showed that PFL-RBC outperformed static rule-based control in infrequent design storms and realistic continuous rainfall events, reducing flood peaks and volumes by 55 %∼87 % and 7 %∼20 %, respectively, and significantly increasing water detention time and reuse volume. Meanwhile, PFL-RBC required less predictive information to achieve a 6 %∼15 % advantage in peak flow control compared to optimized model predictive control. More importantly, PFL-RBC was reliable in the face of input uncertainty, with <25 % performance loss for water quantity control when the realistic forecast error ranged from -50 % to +50 %. These findings suggest that the proposed approach has great potential to enhance the efficiency and practicality of stormwater storage operations.