Temperature variability regulates the interactive effects of warming and pharmaceutical on aquatic ecosystem dynamics
Guangjing Qian1, Dan Wu1, Lai Zhang1
1School of Mathematical Science, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou 225002, China.
Journal of Theoretical Biology
|September 19, 2024
Summary
Climate warming and pharmaceuticals interact to destabilize aquatic ecosystems. Daily temperature range variability significantly influences these effects, impacting predator-prey dynamics and community stability.
Area of Science:
- Ecology
- Environmental Science
- Aquatic Ecosystems
Background:
- Climate warming and pharmaceutical contaminants significantly impact aquatic ecosystems.
- The interactive effects of these stressors on population dynamics and community structure are poorly understood.
- Pharmaceuticals can alter species' boldness, influencing ecological interactions.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the interactive effects of climate warming and pharmaceutical-induced boldness changes on aquatic food-chain models.
- To analyze how daily mean temperature (DMT) and diurnal temperature range (DTR) modulate these interactions.
- To understand the combined impacts on aquatic community stability and population dynamics.
Main Methods:
- Utilized an empirically informed food-chain model with a size-structured fish consumer, zooplankton prey, and a fish predator.
- Incorporated climate warming variables: daily mean temperature (DMT) and diurnal temperature range (DTR).
- Simulated pharmaceutical-induced changes in species' boldness.
Main Results:
- Daily mean temperature (DMT) and high species boldness were identified as primary drivers of community instability.
- Interactive effects led to diverse outcomes, including predator collapse and cyclical population dynamics.
- Daily temperature variability (DTR) significantly modulated interactive effects; moderate DTR stabilized communities, while large DTR destabilized them.
Conclusions:
- Climate warming and pharmaceutical contaminants interact synergistically to affect aquatic ecosystems.
- Daily temperature range is a critical factor mediating the stability of aquatic communities under combined stressors.
- Further research is crucial to quantify cumulative impacts of multiple environmental stressors on aquatic ecosystems.
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