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Updated: Jun 12, 2025

Predictive Immune Modeling of Solid Tumors
Published on: February 25, 2020
Prediction of immunotherapy response using mutations to cancer protein assemblies
JungHo Kong1, Xiaoyu Zhao1, Akshat Singhal2
1Department of Medicine and Moores Cancer Center, School of Medicine, University of California San Diego, San Diego, CA, USA.
Abstract:
While immune checkpoint inhibitors have revolutionized cancer therapy, many patients exhibit poor outcomes. Here, we show immunotherapy responses in bladder and non-small cell lung cancers are effectively predicted by factoring tumor mutation burden (TMB) into burdens on specific protein assemblies. This approach identifies 13 protein assemblies for which the assembly-level mutation burden (AMB) predicts treatment outcomes, which can be combined to powerfully separate responders from nonresponders in multiple cohorts (e.g., 76% versus 37% bladder cancer 1-year survival). These results are corroborated by (i) engineered disruptions in the predictive assemblies, which modulate immunotherapy response in mice, and (ii) histochemistry showing that predicted responders have elevated inflammation. The 13 assemblies have diverse roles in DNA damage checkpoints, oxidative stress, or Janus kinase/signal transducers and activators of transcription signaling and include unexpected genes (e.g., PIK3CG and FOXP1) for which mutation affects treatment response. This study provides a roadmap for using tumor cell biology to factor mutational effects on immune response.
Insights
Predicting immunotherapy success in cancer requires looking beyond tumor mutation burden (TMB) to specific protein assembly-level mutation burden (AMB). This novel metric improves patient stratification for better treatment outcomes.
Area of Science:
- Oncology
- Immunology
- Genetics
Background:
- Immune checkpoint inhibitors offer revolutionary cancer therapy but have limited efficacy for many patients.
- Predicting patient response to immunotherapy remains a significant clinical challenge.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop a more effective method for predicting immunotherapy response in bladder and non-small cell lung cancers.
- To identify specific molecular features that correlate with treatment outcomes.
Main Methods:
- Developed a novel metric, assembly-level mutation burden (AMB), by integrating tumor mutation burden (TMB) with mutations in specific protein assemblies.
- Validated AMB across multiple patient cohorts for bladder and non-small cell lung cancers.
- Corroborated findings through in vivo mouse models with engineered gene disruptions and histochemical analysis of tumor inflammation.
Main Results:
- Identified 13 specific protein assemblies where AMB effectively predicts immunotherapy treatment outcomes.
- Demonstrated that combining these assemblies significantly separates responders from non-responders (e.g., 76% vs. 37% 1-year survival in bladder cancer).
- Found that predicted responders exhibit elevated tumor inflammation.
Conclusions:
- Assembly-level mutation burden (AMB) offers a powerful predictive biomarker for immunotherapy response.
- The identified assemblies are involved in DNA damage checkpoints, oxidative stress, and JAK/STAT signaling.
- This approach provides a framework for leveraging tumor cell biology to optimize immunotherapy strategies.
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