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Hematocrit and Albumin Levels at Admission Predict in-Hospital Mortality in Pediatric COVID-19 Omicron Variant
Yun Zhu1, Lingyan Li2, Wenxiao Wang3
1Department of Pediatric Intensive Care Unit, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, Qingdao, Shandong, People's Republic of China.
Introduction:
The Omicron variant is the present predominant COVID-19 strain worldwide. Accurate mortality prediction can facilitate risk stratification and targeted therapies. The study aimed to evaluate the feasibility of the difference in hematocrit and albumin (HCT-ALB) levels, alone or combined with the pediatric Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (pSOFA) score and lactate level, to predict the in-hospital mortality of COVID-19 Omicron variant-infected pediatric patients.
Methods:
A multicenter retrospective cohort study was performed for children with COVID-19 Omicron variant infection between December 2021 and January 2022. The demographics, clinical characteristics, hospital admission laboratory test results, and treatments were recorded. The in-hospital mortality was documented. The associations between HCT-ALB levels and mortality, and between HCT-ALB+pSOFA+lactate and mortality were analyzed.
Results:
A total of 119 children were included. The median age was 1.6 (interquartile range: 0.5-6.2) years old. There were 70 boys and 49 girls. The mortality rate was 14.3% (17/119). The univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that HCT-ALB was associated to in-hospital mortality (hazard ratio: 1.500, 95% confidence interval: 1.235-1.822, p<0.001). The receiver operating characteristic curve analysis revealed that HCT-ALB can be used to accurately predict in-hospital mortality at a cut-off value of -0.7 (area under the curve: 0.888, sensitivity: 0.882, specificity: 0.225, Youden index: 0.657, p<0.001). These patients were assigned into three groups based on the HCT-ALB level, pSOFA score, and lactate level (low-, medium-, and high-risk groups). The Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed that the mortality increased in the high-risk group, when compared to the medium-risk group (p<0.01). The latter group had a higher mortality, when compared to the low-risk group (p<0.01).
Conclusion:
The HCT-ALB level can be applied to predict the in-hospital mortality of children infected with the COVID-19 Omicron variant. Its combination with other variables can improve prediction performance.
